New Charlie Crist ad focuses on education as new Q-Poll drops
07/23/2014
As a new Quinnipiac poll hits today Democratic candidate for Florida governor Charlie Crist unveiled this new ad:
And now here's the new Quinnipiac Poll. Complete poll results are at the end of the news release from Quinnipiac.
Florida Republican Gov. Rick Scott trails former Gov. Charlie Crist, running as a Democrat, by a narrow 45 - 40 percent margin in a two-way race. When Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie is added to the mix, the race is too close to call, with 39 percent for Crist, 37 percent for Scott and 9 percent for Wyllie, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to a 48 - 38 percent Crist lead in a head-to-head matchup without Wyllie in an April 30 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
Today, Scott leads former State Sen. Nan Rich 41 - 34 percent in a two-way race. Wyllie gets his strongest support from independent voters who back Crist over Scott 45 - 38 percent in a two-way matchup, but split with 36 percent for Crist and 34 percent for Scott, with 12 percent for Wyllie, in the three-way race. Republicans back Scott 79 - 12 percent in the two-way, and 74 - 9 percent, with 5 percent for Wyllie, in the three-way. Democrats go from 78 - 10 percent for Crist in the two- way to 73 - 9 percent, with 6 percent for Wyllie.
Florida voters give Scott a negative 43 - 48 percent approval rating, one of his best scores in almost four years in office, and a negative 40 - 45 percent favorability rating. Crist gets a split rating, 40 percent favorable and 42 percent unfavorable. For Wyllie, 92 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion.
"The campaign to be Florida's next governor tightens slightly and takes on a new dimension with a third candidate in the running," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "Libertarian Adrian Wyllie is not, at this point, a serious contender to win the governorship. But he may have a great deal to say about who does win."
"Virtually no one knows much about Wyllie, but there are a lot of Floridians who aren't keen on either of the major party candidates, Gov. Rick Scott or former Gov. Charlie Christ," Brown added. Gov. Scott does not deserve to be reelected, Florida voters say 51 - 40 percent. Both candidates get low grades for character:
- Voters say 51 - 40 percent that Scott is not honest and trustworthy, and say 48 - 39 percent that Crist is not honest and trustworthy;
- Scott doesn't care about their needs and problems, voters say 52 - 41 percent, and Crist doesn't care, voters say by a slim 47 - 44 percent;
- Scott has strong leadership qualities, voters say 54 - 38 percent, compared to 49 - 43 percent for Crist.
Florida voters say 48 - 36 percent that Crist is more compassionate than Scott. There is only a small gender gap on this question.
Voters are divided on Crist's party change, from Republican to independent to Democrat, as 47 percent say it's a positive thing and 45 percent say it's negative, compared to a 52 - 40 percent positive score April 30.
"Scott and Crist have been saturating the airwaves with negative ads about each other. An old campaign maxim holds that you can't throw mud without getting dirty yourself and that seems to be what's happening here," Brown said. "Because Wyllie is so unknown and presumably unable to compete in the air war at this point, how he does may be a function of how unhappy voters are with the major party choices."
From July 17 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,251 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
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2. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Nan Rich the Democrat and Rick Scott the Republican, for whom would you vote? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Rich 34% 6% 67% 30% 28% 39% 29% 40% 34% 29% Scott 41 78 13 39 48 36 35 38 42 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 2 5 4 5 3 2 3 4 5 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 4 3 9 6 6 8 6 6 5 DK/NA 15 10 12 17 13 17 26 13 13 12
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TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Nan Rich the Democrat and Rick Scott the Republican, for whom would you vote? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 Jan 30 Nov 21 Jun 18 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013
Rich 34 36 37 35 36 Scott 41 42 41 43 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 4 4 5 2 DK/NA 15 15 15 14 18
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3. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat and Rick Scott the Republican, for whom would you vote? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Crist 45% 12% 78% 45% 39% 49% 44% 49% 48% 38% Scott 40 79 10 38 48 34 37 37 39 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 2 3 1 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 5 3 4 2 4 3 3 DK/NA 9 5 8 11 8 10 16 7 7 9
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TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat and Rick Scott the Republican, for whom would you vote? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 Jan 30 Nov 21 Jun 18 Mar 20 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013
Crist 45 48 46 47 47 50 Scott 40 38 38 40 37 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 4 2 3 DK/NA 9 9 10 8 12 12
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4. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Crist 39% 9% 73% 36% 32% 45% 38% 41% 40% 35% Scott 37 74 9 34 45 30 28 31 38 47 Wyllie 9 5 6 12 9 8 13 11 8 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 3 2 3 1 4 2 3 DK/NA 12 7 9 15 11 13 20 12 10 9
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5. Is your opinion of Rick Scott favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Favorable 40% 71% 16% 39% 47% 34% 32% 36% 43% 47% Unfavorable 45 18 70 46 41 49 45 47 48 40 Hvn't hrd enough 13 8 13 13 11 15 23 15 8 11 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 3
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TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Scott favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 40% Jun 2013, ** Low also 28% Aug 2010) |
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FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 23 Apr 30 Jan 30 Nov 21 Jun 18 Jul 23 Feb 02 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2014* 2011**
Favorable 40 39 38 39 40 40 28 Unfavorable 45 46 45 42 42 45 24 Hvn't hrd enough 13 12 14 16 16 13 45 REFUSED 2 3 3 2 3 2 3
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6. Is your opinion of Charlie Crist favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Favorable 40% 14% 69% 39% 37% 42% 30% 45% 41% 38% Unfavorable 42 72 16 41 47 38 34 35 45 51 Hvn't hrd enough 16 13 14 17 15 17 37 18 11 8 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 1 2 - 2 3 2
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TREND: Is your opinion of Charlie Crist favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? |
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FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 23 Apr 30 Jan 30 Nov 21 Jun 18 Feb 19 Jul 23 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2009 2014
Favorable 40 43 44 41 48 68 40 Unfavorable 42 36 35 39 31 21 42 Hvn't hrd enough 16 18 19 18 18 9 16 REFUSED 2 3 3 2 3 3 2
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7. Is your opinion of Nan Rich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Favorable 9% 3% 17% 9% 10% 9% 12% 11% 8% 8% Unfavorable 7 11 4 7 8 6 8 5 9 5 Hvn't hrd enough 83 86 79 83 81 85 79 84 82 86 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1
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TREND: Is your opinion of Nan Rich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 Jan 30 Nov 21 Jun 18 Dec 19 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2012
Favorable 9 8 7 8 7 6 Unfavorable 7 5 6 5 6 4 Hvn't hrd enough 83 85 86 86 84 90 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1
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8. Is your opinion of Adrian Wyllie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Favorable 4% 4% 2% 6% 5% 3% 4% 6% 5% 1% Unfavorable 3 4 4 2 5 2 2 4 3 3 Hvn't hrd enough 92 92 95 91 90 95 94 89 92 96 REFUSED - - - 1 - - - - - 1
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20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Approve 43% 70% 21% 42% 51% 36% 37% 39% 46% 50% Disapprove 48 22 69 50 42 52 50 51 47 42 DK/NA 9 8 9 8 6 12 13 11 7 8
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TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor? (* High also 43% Jun 2013) |
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APPROVE....... High Low Jul 23 Apr 30 Jan 30 Nov 21 Jun 18 Jul 23 May 25 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2014* 2011
Approve 43 42 41 42 43 43 29 Disapprove 48 50 49 47 44 48 57 DK/NA 9 7 10 12 13 9 14
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21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Approve 36% 57% 19% 37% 41% 32% 36% 40% 36% 33% Disapprove 48 31 60 52 50 47 46 49 51 46 DK/NA 16 12 21 11 9 21 18 11 13 21
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TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? |
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APPROVE....... High Low Jul 23 Apr 30 Jan 30 Nov 21 Jun 19 Sep 23 Mar 20 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2004 2013
Approve 36 31 34 31 32 51 25 Disapprove 48 53 49 51 49 34 52 DK/NA 16 16 17 19 19 15 23
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25. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Florida today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very satisfied 9% 14% 7% 8% 11% 7% 5% 9% 9% 11% Smwht satisfied 46 54 41 45 47 44 47 43 48 47 Smwht dissatisfied 29 20 32 31 26 31 32 31 26 25 Very dissatisfied 16 12 19 16 15 17 16 15 16 16 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1
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TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Florida today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*combined High also 63% Sep 2004) |
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VERY+SMWHT.... High Low Jul 23 Apr 30 Jan 30 Nov 21 Jun 18 Feb 24 Sep 22 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2005* 2011
Very satisfied 9 5 6 5 5 15 4 Smwht satisfied 46 46 48 43 48 48 31 Smwht dissatisfied 29 29 30 29 28 22 29 Very dissatisfied 16 19 16 22 17 15 34 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
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26. Do you feel that Rick Scott deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Yes/Deserves 40% 68% 16% 39% 47% 34% 33% 38% 42% 46% No/Does not 51 23 77 52 45 56 53 55 51 44 DK/NA 9 9 7 9 8 10 14 8 8 10
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TREND: Do you feel that Rick Scott deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 Jan 30 Nov 21 Jun 18 Mar 20 Dec 19 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2012
Yes/Deserves 40 39 38 37 35 32 30 No/Does not 51 53 54 53 50 55 52 DK/NA 9 9 9 10 15 13 18
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27. Would you say that Charlie Crist - is honest and trustworthy or not? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Yes 39% 22% 61% 37% 36% 42% 35% 42% 39% 38% No 48 68 27 47 53 43 46 44 51 49 DK/NA 13 10 11 16 11 15 19 13 10 13
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TREND: Would you say that Charlie Crist is honest and trustworthy or not? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 Nov 21 2014 2014 2013
Yes 39 45 40 No 48 43 42 DK/NA 13 13 18
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28. Would you say that Charlie Crist - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Yes 44% 26% 69% 41% 40% 47% 44% 47% 42% 42% No 47 68 24 47 51 43 43 42 50 50 DK/NA 9 6 7 13 8 10 13 10 8 8
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TREND: Would you say that Charlie Crist cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 2014 2014
Yes 44 48 No 47 42 DK/NA 9 10
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29. Would you say that Charlie Crist - has strong leadership qualities or not? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Yes 49% 28% 70% 49% 44% 52% 56% 53% 46% 43% No 43 68 20 42 49 38 30 38 47 50 DK/NA 9 5 10 9 7 10 14 9 7 7
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TREND: Would you say that Charlie Crist has strong leadership qualities or not? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 2014 2014
Yes 49 55 No 43 37 DK/NA 9 9
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30. Would you say that Rick Scott - is honest and trustworthy or not? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Yes 40% 67% 21% 36% 46% 35% 30% 36% 44% 47% No 51 27 69 55 47 54 59 55 49 42 DK/NA 10 6 10 9 8 11 11 9 7 12
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TREND: Would you say that Rick Scott is honest and trustworthy or not? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 Nov 21 2014 2014 2013
Yes 40 38 38 No 51 51 49 DK/NA 10 11 13
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31. Would you say that Rick Scott - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Yes 41% 68% 21% 38% 47% 36% 43% 33% 44% 46% No 52 27 71 55 50 55 55 57 53 44 DK/NA 7 5 8 7 3 10 2 10 4 10
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TREND: Would you say that Rick Scott cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 2014 2014
Yes 41 38 No 52 55 DK/NA 7 8
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32. Would you say that Rick Scott - has strong leadership qualities or not? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Yes 54% 72% 35% 59% 59% 50% 52% 53% 54% 58% No 38 24 56 34 37 40 38 40 41 34 DK/NA 7 5 9 8 4 10 10 7 5 8
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TREND: Would you say that Rick Scott has strong leadership qualities or not? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 2014 2014
Yes 54 49 No 38 44 DK/NA 7 8
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33. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think is more compassionate, Crist or Scott? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Crist 48% 26% 74% 48% 47% 49% 50% 55% 46% 41% Scott 36 59 15 33 40 33 35 29 39 41 DK/NA 16 15 11 19 13 18 15 17 14 18
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TREND: Regardless of who you may support, who do you think is more compassionate, Crist or Scott? |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 2014 2014
Crist 48 50 Scott 36 35 DK/NA 16 15
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34. In recent years, Charlie Crist has changed his party affiliation from Republican to Independent to Democrat. Some people say this is a positive thing because it shows he is a pragmatist who can change with the times and issues. Other people say it is a negative thing because it shows he has no core beliefs. Which comes closest to your view of Charlie Crist? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Positive thing 47% 17% 73% 50% 43% 51% 56% 51% 45% 41% Negative thing 45 78 19 43 50 41 30 41 49 54 DK/NA 8 5 7 6 7 8 14 8 6 5
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TREND: In recent years, Charlie Crist has changed his party affiliation from Republican to Independent to Democrat. Some people say this is a positive thing because it shows he is a pragmatist who can change with the times and issues. Other people say it is a negative thing because it shows he has no core beliefs. Which comes closest to your view of Charlie Crist? (* In the last three years) |
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Jul 23 Apr 30 Nov 21 Jun 18 Mar 20 2014 2014 2013* 2013* 2013*
Positive thing 47 52 46 47 50 Negative thing 45 40 46 44 40 DK/NA 8 7 8 9 10
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35. Do you think of your vote for Governor as a vote for Barack Obama, or as a vote against Barack Obama, or isn't Barack Obama much of a factor in your vote? |
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AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
For Obama 16% 2% 35% 12% 11% 20% 20% 18% 16% 11% Against Obama 16 36 2 10 18 14 12 13 15 22 Not much of a factor 65 60 60 74 68 61 66 65 67 62 DK/NA 3 2 3 4 3 4 2 4 3 5
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Folks, it all comes down to recognition. We need to spread the word about Adrian Wyllie in order for him to win. I am very much behind the “super brochure” plan, so much so, that I personally have completely covered my entire precinct where I live. I think it’s the most affective and economical way to bring the super voters, attention to Adrian Wyllie. Most don’t even know there is another choice other than scott/christ. It only cost me $47.50 to cover my precinct. I urge others to do the same. If you want him elected, you must do something to make it happen. Just your one vote will not do it. Take advantage of this great opportunity we have to get a Libertarian in the Governor’s office. We (Floridians) desperately need this. I beg you to do what you can.
Posted by: OrlandoChris | 07/28/2014 at 01:58 PM