Majority of Florida voters say Obama does not deserve a second term
05/23/2012
For Mitt Romney supporters in Florida, the headline from the today's Quinnipiac Poll is that Romney leads Barack Obama 47-41. But that may be the least interesting of the poll's numbers - afterall, leads come and go.
What should trouble Florida Democrats is this set of numbers:
52 percent said Obama does not deserve a second term. 52 percent said they don't approve of the job he is doing. And just 45 percent have a favorable view of the president.
All of this comes on the heels of a barrage of Obama campaign ads.
This is grim for Democrats. Not insurmountable but grim.
From May 15 – 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,722 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
Here are the complete poll results from Quinnipiac:
Gov. Mitt Romney holds a 47 – 41 percent lead over President Barack Obama in Florida, where 63 percent of voters say the president’s support of same-sex marriage will not affect their vote, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Another 25 – 11 percent of voters, including 23 – 9 percent among independent voters, say Obama’s support of gay marriage makes them less likely to support his candidacy.
Adding Florida U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio to the GOP ticket would give the Republican Romney/Rubio team a 49 – 41 percent lead over President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden.
Romney’s lead in the horse race compares to a 44 – 43 percent tie in a May 3 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and a 49 – 42 percent Obama lead March 28.
Florida registered voters say 52 – 44 percent that the president does not deserve a second term in the Oval Office and by 52 – 44 percent give him a thumbs-down on his job approval.
“Gov. Mitt Romney has slipped into the lead in Florida and that standing is confirmed by his much better numbers than the president when voters are asked whether they view the candidates favorably or unfavorably. They view Romney favorably 44 – 35 percent, while Obama gets a negative 45 – 50 percent favorability,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant vice president of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
“The overall picture in Florida is positive for Romney, who is ahead 50 – 37 percent among men, while women are divided 44 – 45 percent. And the president is getting just 33 percent of white votes, compared to 85 percent of black votes and 42 percent of Hispanic votes.”
With the bitter GOP primaries now behind him, Romney is winning Republicans 91 – 3 percent and independent voters 44 – 36 percent, while losing Democrats 87 – 4 percent.
In the Romney/Rubio race verses Obama/Biden, independent voters back the Republican ticket 46 – 37 percent.
Separate from their favorable opinion, Florida voters say 76 – 21 percent that Obama is a likeable person, compared to 58 – 30 percent for Romney. Even Republicans say 58 – 38 percent that Obama is likeable, while Democrats say 55 – 33 percent that Romney is not likeable. Independent voters say 73 – 23 percent that Obama is likeable and 58 – 31 percent that Romney is likeable.
Romney is viewed as better able to handle the economy, 50 – 40 percent.
On the issue of same-sex marriage, Florida voters, who have banned such unions in the State Constitution, now say they oppose them 50 – 40 percent. Men oppose same-sex marriage 55 – 35 percent while women are divided 44 – 46 percent. Support is 57 – 33 percent among voters under 35 years old. Opposition is 52 – 38 percent among voters 35 to 54 years old and 55 – 36 percent among voters over 55.
When given a three-way choice:
- 36 percent favor gay marriage;
- 34 percent back civil unions;
- 23 percent oppose all legal recognition.
A total of 22 percent of Florida voters say same-sex marriage is “extremely important” or “very important” to their presidential vote, while 26 percent say “somewhat important” and 49 percent say “not important.”
Romney’s opposition to same-sex marriage will not affect their vote, 56 percent of Florida votes say, while 23 percent say it makes them more likely to vote for him and 19 percent say less likely.
“While the issue of same-sex marriage looks like it affects only one-third of Florida voters, we know from experience what a few votes can mean in the Sunshine State,” said Brown.
From May 15 – 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,722 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.
2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were
Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Obama 41% 3% 87% 36% 37% 45% 33% 85% 42%
Romney 47 91 4 44 50 44 56 3 40
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 5 3 1 3 - 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 3 2 2 1 7
DK/NA 7 3 6 12 7 7 6 11 10
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Obama 40% 30% 22% 28% 30% 37% 14% 33% 33%
Romney 53 57 67 60 60 53 74 56 57
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 2
DK/NA 3 7 6 8 5 7 8 6 5
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Obama 47% 39% 46% 46% 40% 35% 45% 44% 39%
Romney 44 48 36 43 51 59 34 48 51
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 4 3 2 - 4 3 2
DK/NA 5 8 12 6 5 4 14 4 6
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?
(2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
OBAMA.........
High Low
May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Jan 11 Mar 28 Sep 22
2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011
Obama 41 43 49 45 43 49 40
Romney 47 44 42 45 46 42 47
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 2 2 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 3 3 2 4
DK/NA 7 9 5 6 6 5 8
3. Let's say the Democratic ticket is Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for
vice president and the Republican ticket is Mitt Romney for president and Marco Rubio
for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Obama/Biden 41% 3% 89% 37% 38% 44% 34% 86% 39%
Romney/Rubio 49 92 5 46 52 46 58 5 45
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 3 2 1 2 - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 2 2 1 1 6
DK/NA 6 3 4 12 6 7 5 8 10
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Obama/Biden 40% 31% 23% 29% 30% 37% 17% 33% 32%
Romney/Rubio 55 59 70 62 61 55 76 58 59
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 - 3 1 2 2 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 2 1
DK/NA 2 7 4 6 5 6 5 5 6
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Obama/Biden 47% 39% 46% 47% 41% 35% 44% 45% 39%
Romney/Rubio 46 50 39 44 52 61 37 49 53
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 3 3 2 - 3 2 2
DK/NA 3 8 11 4 4 3 14 3 5
4. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 44% 81% 10% 40% 50% 39% 51% 10% 41%
Unfavorable 35 7 68 33 31 38 32 56 27
Hvn't hrd enough 19 11 20 24 18 19 14 33 27
REFUSED 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 1 4
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Favorable 49% 52% 59% 54% 57% 45% 66% 49% 54%
Unfavorable 39 29 25 29 28 37 17 34 29
Hvn't hrd enough 11 16 14 16 14 15 14 16 14
REFUSED 1 3 2 2 1 4 3 1 3
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Favorable 43% 45% 32% 40% 49% 59% 28% 46% 49%
Unfavorable 41 32 38 38 36 28 33 36 36
Hvn't hrd enough 14 21 27 20 12 12 36 15 13
REFUSED 2 3 3 2 3 1 2 2 2
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
FAVORABLE....
High Low
May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Jan 11 Jan 11 Feb 07
2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2007
Favorable 44 40 41 43 47 47 13
Unfavorable 35 34 36 37 29 29 11
Hvn't hrd enough 19 22 19 17 22 22 75
REFUSED 2 4 4 3 3 3 1
5. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 45% 8% 88% 42% 41% 48% 37% 83% 51%
Unfavorable 50 90 7 49 54 46 60 9 38
Hvn't hrd enough 3 1 3 4 3 3 1 6 9
REFUSED 2 1 1 4 2 2 2 2 2
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Favorable 45% 34% 26% 32% 33% 41% 19% 37% 35%
Unfavorable 52 63 71 65 64 55 78 59 60
Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2
REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Favorable 51% 43% 51% 50% 42% 41% 50% 47% 44%
Unfavorable 45 52 43 44 54 58 38 51 53
Hvn't hrd enough 2 3 4 2 3 - 8 2 1
REFUSED 2 2 3 4 1 1 4 1 2
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
FAVORABLE....
High Low
May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Jan 11 Feb 19 Feb 07
2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2009 2007
Favorable 45 46 51 49 45 69 37
Unfavorable 50 47 44 48 50 22 18
Hvn't hrd enough 3 4 2 1 3 6 44
REFUSED 2 3 3 2 2 3 1
6. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 44% 79% 11% 40% 47% 41% 51% 9% 41%
Unfavorable 24 3 48 24 25 24 23 35 23
Hvn't hrd enough 31 17 40 35 27 34 25 54 35
REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
FAVORABLE......
High Low
May 23 Feb 03 Aug 19 Jul 30 Jun 09 May 23 Apr 16
2012 2011 2010 2010 2010 2012 2009
Favorable 44 41 35 35 36 44 10
Unfavorable 24 17 28 24 28 24 11
Hvn't hrd enough 31 41 34 38 34 31 78
REFUSED 1 2 2 3 2 1 2
7. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 36% 7% 72% 32% 31% 40% 30% 73% 32%
Unfavorable 42 76 8 41 48 38 51 6 32
Hvn't hrd enough 21 16 19 26 20 22 18 20 35
REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 - 2
TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
May 23 Dec 08 Feb 07
2012 2011 2007
Favorable 36 37 20
Unfavorable 42 40 22
Hvn't hrd enough 21 21 57
REFUSED 1 2 1
8. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
More 38% 51% 32% 29% 41% 34% 39% 42% 32%
Less 19 15 17 26 17 21 21 8 18
About the same 42 33 50 44 41 43 40 47 47
DK/NA 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 3 2
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
More 39% 38% 41% 42% 44% 34% 41% 40% 42%
Less 18 22 20 23 17 24 20 22 19
About the same 42 39 38 33 39 41 38 36 39
DK/NA 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 -
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
More 37% 38% 31% 35% 43% 41% 23% 35% 45%
Less 17 20 23 19 18 15 27 17 17
About the same 45 40 43 45 39 44 48 46 37
DK/NA 1 2 3 1 1 - 2 1 2
TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
(2011 wording referenced "2012 election")
MORE..........
High Low
May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Jan 11 Sep 22 Dec 08
2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011
More 38 35 35 38 37 40 32
Less 19 26 27 20 21 22 23
About the same 42 38 37 41 41 37 44
DK/NA 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as
United States Senator?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 54% 83% 22% 54% 59% 49% 59% 25% 55%
Disapprove 27 5 54 27 26 29 24 46 29
DK/NA 19 12 24 19 15 22 17 29 16
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Approve 58% 60% 69% 66% 63% 55% 73% 62% 63%
Disapprove 29 21 16 18 22 25 10 23 23
DK/NA 13 19 15 16 15 20 17 15 15
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Approve 51% 55% 46% 51% 58% 63% 41% 60% 56%
Disapprove 34 25 30 28 28 25 29 28 26
DK/NA 15 21 25 21 14 12 31 12 17
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as
United States Senator?
APPROVE.......
High Low
May 23 Jan 26 Jan 10 Nov 11 Sep 21 May 23 Feb 03
2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2012 2011
Approve 54 48 50 49 49 54 42
Disapprove 27 33 29 29 31 27 20
DK/NA 19 20 21 22 20 19 37
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 44% 6% 90% 39% 38% 49% 34% 91% 52%
Disapprove 52 91 7 56 58 47 63 7 43
DK/NA 3 3 2 5 4 3 3 2 5
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Approve 41% 31% 25% 28% 28% 40% 19% 34% 33%
Disapprove 56 66 73 67 69 57 78 62 64
DK/NA 3 3 2 5 4 3 3 4 3
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Approve 48% 43% 53% 49% 42% 35% 53% 44% 42%
Disapprove 48 54 44 49 56 61 40 52 56
DK/NA 4 3 4 3 2 4 7 3 2
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
APPROVE.......
High Low
May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Jan 11 Feb 19 Sep 22
2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2009 2011
Approve 44 46 47 46 42 64 39
Disapprove 52 50 49 52 54 23 57
DK/NA 3 4 5 2 4 13 5
20. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Deserves 44% 4% 91% 41% 40% 47% 35% 88% 49%
No/Does not 52 93 7 54 57 48 62 6 43
DK/NA 4 3 3 5 3 5 3 6 8
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Yes/Deserves 41% 32% 23% 30% 31% 38% 16% 35% 35%
No/Does not 56 65 75 67 67 58 80 63 62
DK/NA 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Yes/Deserves 48% 42% 51% 48% 42% 37% 53% 44% 41%
No/Does not 47 54 44 47 56 62 42 52 56
DK/NA 4 4 5 5 2 1 5 3 3
TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (*High also 50% May 2011)
DESERVES......
High Low
May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Jan 11 Mar 28* Sep 22
2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011
Yes/Deserves 44 45 50 47 44 50 41
No/Does not 52 50 47 49 52 47 53
DK/NA 4 5 3 4 4 3 6
22. Would you say Barack Obama is a likable person or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes 76% 58% 98% 73% 76% 76% 72% 96% 79%
No 21 38 2 23 22 21 25 2 19
DK/NA 3 4 1 4 2 3 3 2 2
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Yes 80% 69% 65% 71% 72% 72% 64% 73% 72%
No 20 27 31 26 26 24 32 24 25
DK/NA 1 4 4 3 2 4 4 3 3
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Yes 82% 74% 77% 79% 81% 71% 80% 80% 74%
No 17 23 20 19 18 26 19 18 23
DK/NA 1 3 3 2 1 2 1 2 3
23. Would you say Mitt Romney is a likable person or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes 58% 84% 33% 58% 63% 54% 63% 40% 56%
No 30 9 55 31 28 32 28 42 29
DK/NA 11 7 12 12 9 14 9 18 15
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Yes 65% 62% 73% 65% 66% 59% 76% 63% 66%
No 30 27 18 29 26 30 13 28 26
DK/NA 6 11 10 6 8 11 11 9 8
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Yes 61% 57% 52% 59% 61% 65% 45% 61% 62%
No 33 29 33 30 32 29 37 31 28
DK/NA 6 14 15 11 6 6 19 8 10
24. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Obama 40% 4% 85% 35% 36% 43% 32% 81% 40%
Romney 50 91 7 50 55 45 59 8 42
DK/NA 10 5 8 16 9 11 8 10 18
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Obama 39% 29% 21% 27% 29% 36% 14% 32% 33%
Romney 56 61 71 64 65 54 76 60 60
DK/NA 5 10 8 9 7 10 10 8 7
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Obama 45% 38% 47% 44% 39% 31% 43% 41% 39%
Romney 48 50 40 48 51 65 42 50 53
DK/NA 7 12 14 9 10 4 16 9 8
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10
2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011
Obama 40 40 45 41 39 41 39
Romney 50 49 48 50 52 49 49
DK/NA 10 11 7 9 9 10 12
28. In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Support 40% 16% 65% 41% 35% 44% 39% 45% 40%
Oppose 50 76 25 46 55 46 53 37 49
DK/NA 10 7 10 13 10 10 8 18 11
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Support 46% 35% 24% 35% 33% 44% 15% 41% 33%
Oppose 47 56 67 55 58 48 79 49 58
DK/NA 8 9 8 10 9 8 6 9 10
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Support 45% 38% 41% 40% 41% 45% 57% 38% 36%
Oppose 45 52 47 54 48 50 33 52 55
DK/NA 10 10 13 7 11 5 10 10 9
29. Do you think same-sex couples should be allowed legally to marry, should be allowed legally to form civil unions but not marry, or should not be allowed to obtain legal recognition of their relationships?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Marry 36% 13% 57% 38% 32% 39% 35% 33% 40%
Civil unions 34 46 21 35 35 34 36 27 30
No recognition 23 34 14 21 26 20 23 27 23
DK/NA 8 8 7 6 8 8 7 13 7
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Marry 42% 32% 21% 33% 29% 41% 13% 38% 28%
Civil unions 40 34 40 42 38 33 38 40 39
No recognition 15 26 33 17 26 20 41 17 25
DK/NA 3 8 6 8 7 6 7 6 8
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Marry 40% 34% 37% 34% 36% 43% 50% 36% 32%
Civil unions 38 32 24 36 41 39 21 34 39
No recognition 16 25 27 26 18 14 21 24 22
DK/NA 6 9 12 5 5 4 8 7 8
TREND: Do you think same-sex couples should be allowed legally to marry, should be allowed legally to form civil unions, but not marry, or should not be allowed to obtain legal recognition of their relationships?
May 23 Jan 22 Sep 8 Aug 8
2012 2009 2008 2007
Marry 36 27 27 27
Civil unions 34 35 35 29
No recognition 23 31 31 35
DK/NA 8 7 6 9
30. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on
same-sex marriage, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Obama 52% 23% 82% 55% 49% 55% 47% 72% 56%
Romney 31 60 6 25 35 27 38 7 21
DK/NA 17 17 11 21 16 19 16 21 23
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Obama 54% 43% 34% 46% 43% 50% 27% 50% 45%
Romney 34 39 50 38 42 33 59 34 39
DK/NA 12 17 17 16 14 17 14 16 16
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Obama 56% 50% 55% 56% 51% 51% 64% 53% 48%
Romney 30 31 24 29 37 34 18 32 35
DK/NA 14 19 21 15 13 15 18 15 17
31. How important will the issue of same-sex marriage be in your vote for President this year; extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not important?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Extremely important 10% 12% 8% 10% 9% 11% 9% 13% 13%
Very important 12 12 12 12 11 13 11 10 19
Somewhat important 26 26 33 22 22 30 27 23 25
Not important 49 49 46 54 56 44 51 49 41
DK/NA 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 4 2
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
Extremely important 6% 11% 13% 6% 9% 10% 18% 7% 10%
Very important 11 11 12 7 10 11 16 8 10
Somewhat important 31 26 27 29 22 33 27 27 25
Not important 53 51 46 57 58 45 38 57 54
DK/NA - 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
Extremely important 7% 12% 16% 12% 11% 4% 12% 7% 10%
Very important 10 13 13 11 10 11 13 13 11
Somewhat important 29 25 29 27 22 30 33 24 26
Not important 55 48 38 49 57 56 41 54 51
DK/NA - 2 3 1 - - 1 1 2
32. As you may know, Barack Obama supports same-sex marriage. Does Barack Obama's support for same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him for President, less likely to vote for him for President, or doesn't it make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
More likely 11% 1% 21% 9% 10% 12% 9% 11% 17%
Less likely 25 43 7 23 26 24 28 13 22
No difference 63 54 70 67 63 63 61 73 59
DK/NA 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 3 2
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
More likely 14% 7% 6% 7% 7% 11% 3% 10% 6%
Less likely 24 30 41 22 30 26 52 21 29
No difference 61 62 52 70 61 62 43 68 62
DK/NA 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
More likely 12% 10% 10% 12% 12% 11% 18% 9% 9%
Less likely 22 26 25 25 25 20 19 22 28
No difference 65 62 61 62 63 69 63 68 61
DK/NA 1 2 3 1 1 - - 1 2
33. As you may know, Mitt Romney opposes same-sex marriage. Does Mitt Romney's opposition to same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him for President, less likely to vote for him for President, or doesn't it make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
More likely 23% 44% 5% 20% 25% 22% 26% 10% 23%
Less likely 19 3 34 17 18 19 17 18 25
No difference 56 51 59 59 55 56 56 66 46
DK/NA 2 1 1 4 2 3 1 5 5
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
More likely 23% 27% 39% 22% 28% 24% 52% 18% 29%
Less likely 22 14 9 13 15 19 6 16 15
No difference 54 57 50 64 56 56 40 65 55
DK/NA 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
More likely 20% 24% 24% 25% 23% 19% 19% 19% 27%
Less likely 21 17 22 16 17 19 30 16 16
No difference 57 55 51 58 59 60 49 64 55
DK/NA 1 3 4 1 2 1 2 1 2
34. As you may know, Mitt Romney opposes civil unions for same-sex couples. Does
Mitt Romney's opposition to civil unions for same-sex couples make you more likely to vote for him for President, less likely to vote for him for President, or doesn't it
make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
More likely 15% 28% 4% 14% 16% 14% 17% 9% 16%
Less likely 23 3 41 26 23 24 22 23 26
No difference 59 66 53 57 59 59 59 63 53
DK/NA 3 3 1 3 3 3 2 5 4
WHITE..............................................
COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry
Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold
More likely 14% 18% 25% 15% 18% 15% 34% 11% 18%
Less likely 29 19 14 16 20 24 9 22 18
No difference 56 60 59 67 60 58 54 66 61
DK/NA 1 3 3 1 2 2 4 2 2
COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......
Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+
More likely 13% 16% 16% 18% 15% 10% 16% 14% 16%
Less likely 28 21 28 20 23 23 37 19 21
No difference 58 59 51 62 60 65 45 66 60
DK/NA 1 3 5 1 2 2 2 1 3
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